Tim van Beek, founder/owner, and Ruud van Sloten, managing consultant, of EVConsult visited EVS31 from 1-3 October in Kobe (Japan) in a delegation with the Deputy Mayor of Amsterdam, Sharon Dijksma. After these three days, we combined the visit to Japan with a trip to OEM’s and energy companies in the Tokyo region with a large Dutch delegation. In a series of 3 blogs we will present you our lessons from Japan. We will start of with a blog about ‘EV adoption’, followed by the ‘Race for the battery production and second life batteries’ and finally about ‘The Energy of EV’.
Japan has a great public transport network and the trains run almost perfectly on time. Except when typhoons hit the coasts, which let us no choice but to wait a day to travel to Kobe. Stuck in Tokyo we travelled one day later to Kobe for EVS, where Tim van Beek presented about our V2G studies (more about this in blog 3).
At EVS we found that the Japanese OEM’s still see PHEVs as primary first step to zero-emission vehicles (either BEV and/or FCEV). Most of them have a strong focus on plug-in hybrids and in our business meetings with these OEM’s they also pledged for fiscal incentives for PHEVs, perhaps higher incentives when more electric kilometres are driven. In the Netherlands our focus is on stimulating full emission free transport, which was also stated clearly by Sharon Dijksma in her keynote speech at EVS.
On the other hand, most Japanese OEM’s have a focus on fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV) for the future. And Japan, especially the Tokyo-region, wants to present itself as hydrogen frontrunner in 2020. In a meeting with NEDO – the Japanese national research institute – we found that although there are approx 2.700 FCEVs on the road in Japan, which is a fifty-fold of the number in the Netherlands. The hydrogen economy however, is still immature in Japan as well. The fuel costs are high (just as in Europe) and the environmental impact is suboptimal, as they now import hydrogen produced using brown coal from Australia. On a well-to-wheel basis this is not the way forward. As one of our speaking partners stated: “FCEV maybe a solution in the future, but I have to come with affordable solutions today. Hence, the people who push for hydrogen, are those who have nothing else to push today.” An interesting thought, putting the BEV and FCEV in the right perspective as for today.
From the sessions at EVS we also found some interesting notions:
- A study by ICCT revealed that 40% of worldwide EV sales takes place in just 20 cities/metropolitan areas. Three Dutch cities – Amsteram, Rotterdam and Utrecht – belong to these top-20 of front runners. Leading markets tend to have more extensive charging infrastructure, more EV models, greater consumer incentives and local promotion actions.
- Johan Wedlin from RISE Viktoria in Sweden presented a plan to reach the target of 70% CO2-reduction in Sweden. They see company cars as a fastlane for EV adoption, since approximately 40-50% of new car sales go to companies. Of these half are to be used for company operations and the other half for employees as part of their benefit package. People tend to be less hesitant to choose an electric vehicle as a company car than as a private car. Hence, company cars can give an important contribution to a faster adoption of EVs in Sweden and thereby to a fossil free future. For this to happen, the following is important:
- a continuous and significant difference in taxation and monthly costs for EVs compared with ICE cars
- charging possibilities at the workplace and possibilities for fast charging at a reasonable cost/km
- commitment from companies and active support with arranging the cars and charging infrastructure for employees
- Heavy duty electric transport is at the beginning of its uptake. At EVS there were only a few presentations and companies with a focus on zero-emission busses or trucks. We expect this to change the coming years as we ourselves are busy with the electrification of public transport buses in the Netherlands and Belgium and recently we are also carrying out a study to the possibilities for electrification of heavy duty trucks that supply transport from the Port of Rotterdam.
In our second blog you can read about the ‘Race for the battery production and Second life batteries’.